capsaicin2M

0x0b92b0...916088

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.7%

Total P&L

+$1.6K

Trade Count

237

Sharpe Ratio

-0.28

Sortino Ratio

-0.49

Max Drawdown

158.0%

ROI

7.1%

Profit Factor

6.43

Kelly Fraction

0.394

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	52.0¢	77	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	53.5¢	28	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	54.4¢	10	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	54.4¢	14	Mar 5
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	BUY	36.0¢	69.3	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	53.5¢	14	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	54.0¢	48	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	54.0¢	27	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	55.7¢	100	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	56.9¢	30	Mar 5
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	BUY	32.0¢	23	Mar 5
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	BUY	43.0¢	15.78	Mar 5
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	BUY	35.0¢	82.74	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	40	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	49.0¢	148.98	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	49.5¢	80.828	Mar 5
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	BUY	24.0¢	50.44	Mar 5
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	BUY	42.0¢	52.381	Mar 4
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	BUY	43.0¢	20.79	Mar 4
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	BUY	43.0¢	11.372	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.9%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity237 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,30310d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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