captainholt99

0x70c6d8...b68c6d

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.6%

Total P&L

-$51

Trade Count

332

Sharpe Ratio

0.67

Sortino Ratio

1.53

Max Drawdown

124.4%

ROI

-5.4%

Profit Factor

0.31

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	13	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 6?	BUY	72.0¢	13	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	17.0¢	0.88	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	12.0¢	16	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 5?	BUY	83.0¢	11	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	12.0¢	14	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 6?	BUY	85.0¢	18	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	4	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	14	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	BUY	78.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	67.0¢	4	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	14	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	69.4¢	16.2	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	77.0¢	16.208	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	69.0¢	9	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 3?	SELL	59.8¢	54.07	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 5?	SELL	3.0¢	16	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency44.1%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity332 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$1416d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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