Carupton

0x580a0c...934f30

Smart Score

Win Rate

91.7%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.40

Sortino Ratio

-0.83

Max Drawdown

746.3%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

51.32

Kelly Fraction

0.899

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	1.16	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.17	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.26	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.7¢	1.46	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	1.35	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	1.18	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	1.44	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	BUY	99.6¢	1.26	Feb 27
Will XRP reach $3.20 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.1	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.19	Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	BUY	99.9¢	1.3	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.6¢	1.4	Feb 27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	BUY	99.4¢	1.18	Feb 27
Will XRP reach $2.80 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.44	Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	1.47	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on February 26?	BUY	98.4¢	2	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 26?	BUY	98.9¢	1.35	Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	1.28	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	1.98	Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	1.42	Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.3%

Win Consistency70.8%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.65

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity24 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$340d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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