cas1111

0x2b9edb...770db0

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$186

Trade Count

3,493

Sharpe Ratio

0.21

Sortino Ratio

0.43

Max Drawdown

33883.9%

ROI

1.2%

Profit Factor

1.05

Kelly Fraction

0.032

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	59.0¢	5	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	92.8¢	7.73	Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	97.6¢	5	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?	BUY	9.0¢	11.12	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	34.0¢	7.86	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	SELL	32.0¢	13.99	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	SELL	33.0¢	16.29	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	32.0¢	9.91	Mar 5
Yellow FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	75.0¢	5	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	33.0¢	14.34	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	33.0¢	5	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	33.0¢	5	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	33.0¢	5	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	32.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	75.0¢	0.57	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	79.0¢	15.04	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 6, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	6.44	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	73.0¢	5.29	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	15.0¢	29.53	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.8%

Win Consistency49.6%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity3,493 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,5922d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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