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CDzzD

0x4a01c2...f47650
Smart Score
51
Win Rate
29.5%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
170
Sharpe Ratio
0.86
Sortino Ratio
17.38
Max Drawdown
6.2%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
1.09
Kelly Fraction
0.024
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
051/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY37.5¢10Mar 5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1BUY69.0¢10Mar 5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1BUY32.0¢10Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY11.9¢10Mar 5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.4¢99Feb 8
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.0¢100Feb 7
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.9¢66Feb 6
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.9¢100Feb 5
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.8¢52.11Feb 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.8¢6.7Feb 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.8¢7.19Feb 2
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.4¢77Feb 2
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢133Feb 2
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.0¢55Jan 21
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.8¢133Jan 21
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.1¢99Jan 21
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.8¢40Jan 21
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.3¢88Jan 21
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?SELL98.0¢5Jan 21
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY1.3¢22.8Jan 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%89%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing51

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.81
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.4%
Win Consistency50.9%
Profit Factor1.33
Drawdown Resilience1.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.82
Trading Activity170 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$248d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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