ceiqm

0x258318...130626

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.6%

Total P&L

+$46.6K

Trade Count

299

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

120.60

Max Drawdown

19.8%

ROI

50.4%

Profit Factor

15.54

Kelly Fraction

0.726

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

081.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Sunday?	BUY	22.1¢	2,714	Dec 28
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?	SELL	94.2¢	25.65	Dec 24
Trudeau out in 2024?	SELL	97.0¢	59	Dec 23
Trudeau out in 2024?	BUY	31.5¢	853.932	Dec 23
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?	BUY	9.1¢	25.65	Dec 22
Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in 2024?	SELL	86.0¢	33.68	Dec 21
Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in 2024?	SELL	74.7¢	136.57	Dec 21
Will there be a US Government shutdown?	SELL	84.9¢	1,340.45	Dec 20
Will there be a US Government shutdown?	SELL	80.4¢	1,873.55	Dec 20
Will there be a US Government shutdown?	BUY	31.1¢	3,214	Dec 20
Will there be a US Government shutdown?	SELL	18.9¢	3,920	Dec 20
Will there be a US Government shutdown?	BUY	25.5¢	3,920	Dec 20
Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in 2024?	BUY	24.0¢	170.251	Dec 20
Another Trudeau cabinet resignation by Friday?	BUY	23.0¢	3,187.17	Dec 19
Another Trudeau cabinet resignation by Friday?	BUY	23.0¢	1,158.83	Dec 19
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?	SELL	99.9¢	2,497.55	Dec 18
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?	SELL	99.9¢	7.407	Dec 18
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?	SELL	99.9¢	1,495.035	Dec 18
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?	BUY	14.0¢	3,111.88	Dec 18
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?	BUY	14.0¢	4,030.12	Dec 18

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro81.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)74.5%

Win Consistency85.8%

Profit Factor2.13

Drawdown Resilience1.72

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.72

Weekly Sharpe est.1.31

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue