Celestiala

0x4cc9c1...1e7a80

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.6%

Total P&L

+$150

Trade Count

212

Sharpe Ratio

0.28

Sortino Ratio

0.53

Max Drawdown

63.4%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

2.43

Kelly Fraction

0.345

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Pistons vs. Spurs	BUY	61.0¢	24.59	Mar 5
Senators vs. Flames	BUY	61.0¢	24.59	Mar 5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?	BUY	58.0¢	19.534	Mar 5
Jazz vs. Wizards	BUY	46.0¢	32.609	Mar 5
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	2,500	Mar 5
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	275.56	Mar 4
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	2,003	Mar 4
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	221.44	Mar 4
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	2,500	Mar 4
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	2,400	Mar 4
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score	BUY	62.0¢	24.194	Mar 4
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	BUY	66.0¢	7.576	Mar 4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	64.0¢	31.25	Mar 4
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5	BUY	59.0¢	17.644	Mar 4
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	2,400	Mar 4
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.2¢	2,500	Mar 3
BNP Paribas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Marin Cilic	BUY	59.0¢	16.949	Mar 3
BNP Paribas Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	52.8¢	28.396	Mar 3
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	51.0¢	28.784	Mar 3
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Dino Prizmic	BUY	47.0¢	21.277	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.3%

Win Consistency47.7%

Profit Factor1.12

Drawdown Resilience0.91

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.91

Weekly Sharpe est.0.69

Trading Activity157 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$13,6233d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue