cgte

0x4bd749...c623f9

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.6%

Total P&L

-$27

Trade Count

146

Sharpe Ratio

-0.52

Sortino Ratio

-0.46

Max Drawdown

67598.3%

ROI

-3.5%

Profit Factor

0.24

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	85.3¢	1.172	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	BUY	89.0¢	1.124	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	98.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	1.7¢	313.89	Mar 5
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	8.4¢	12.86	Mar 5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	2.0¢	600	Feb 21
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	2.5¢	0.2	Feb 21
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	2.5¢	15.17	Feb 21
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	2.5¢	55	Feb 21
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	1.9¢	600	Feb 21
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	2.5¢	48	Feb 21
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	98.1¢	8	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	8	Feb 21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.5¢	8	Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	86.6¢	1.155	Jan 27
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	3.3¢	118.37	Jan 27
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	2.128	Jan 27
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	2.151	Jan 27
US government shutdown Saturday?	SELL	20.0¢	4.06	Jan 27
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	50.3¢	2.1	Jan 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency47.4%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity146 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$2785d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue