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ChokoFlakes

0x14d048...568df8
Smart Score
7
Win Rate
60.1%
Total P&L
-$501
Trade Count
277
Sharpe Ratio
0.37
Sortino Ratio
4.16
Max Drawdown
774.7%
ROI
-3.1%
Profit Factor
0.48
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
06.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY99.3¢5.035Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 5?BUY99.9¢5.005Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY17.4¢5.747Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY41.7¢11.99Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL40.0¢23.8Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY99.8¢100.2Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY99.9¢100.1Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY42.0¢23.81Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY68.0¢14.706Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL32.1¢5.87Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY85.2¢5.869Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL54.2¢22.43Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?BUY99.8¢5.01Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY99.8¢100.2Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY44.6¢22.433Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL51.0¢27.77Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL10.1¢84.74Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.9¢84.746Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 3?BUY99.9¢5.005Mar 2
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on March 3?BUY99.9¢5.005Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%9%10–20%3%20–30%11%30–50%3%50–70%4%70–80%4%80–90%45%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing6.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.36
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.0%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor0.17
Drawdown Resilience0.14
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14
Weekly Sharpe est.0.11
Trading Activity277 trades · 51 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,23015d profit35d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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