Chopchop827262

0x0a818d...62420f
Smart Score
2
Win Rate
10.9%
Total P&L
-$160
Trade Count
100
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58
Sortino Ratio
-3.46
Max Drawdown
6797.4%
ROI
-1.9%
Profit Factor
0.93
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
02.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL24.0¢166.66Mar 5
Will Trump say "Genius" during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL99.0¢263.57Mar 4
Will Trump say "Big Tech" during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL99.0¢74.39Mar 4
Will Trump say "Good Friend of Mine" or "Friend of Mine" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY65.4¢169.806Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?SELL24.6¢451.61Mar 4
Will Trump say "Big Tech" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY58.3¢74.396Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL13.0¢333.33Mar 4
Will Trump say "Genius" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY62.8¢263.573Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL30.7¢538.97Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY33.0¢1,077.947Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL65.3¢544.69Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY83.6¢544.689Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL81.9¢556.07Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY81.8¢556.076Mar 3
Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Low IQ" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?SELL99.2¢458.54Mar 3
Will Trump say "Fake News" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY38.0¢1,051.947Mar 3
Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Low IQ" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY21.8¢458.545Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY75.3¢451.614Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY74.2¢67.393Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY15.0¢666.667Mar 3
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%79%< 10%6%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing2.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.9%
Win Consistency21.3%
Profit Factor0.05
Drawdown Resilience0.04
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04
Weekly Sharpe est.0.03
Trading Activity100 trades · 25 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3964d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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