0xaef7be...828b33

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.55

Sortino Ratio

-0.21

Max Drawdown

200.0%

ROI

3.5%

Profit Factor

1.19

Kelly Fraction

0.080

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	5.05	Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	5.056	Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	9	Jan 25
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.5¢	2,504	Jan 16
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.6¢	2,504	Jan 15
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 26
Solana Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	8	Nov 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 26
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	5	Nov 26
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Nov 26
Solana Up or Down - November 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	8	Nov 23
Ethereum Up or Down - November 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 23
Solana Up or Down - November 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	4	Nov 17
Solana Up or Down - November 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Nov 17
Solana Up or Down - November 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	1	Nov 17
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7	Nov 17
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	5	Nov 11
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Nov 11

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.06

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.0%

Win Consistency4.3%

Profit Factor0.03

Drawdown Resilience0.02

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.02

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity33 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$821d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue