chuangmuyi

0x63d753...84e76e

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.6%

Total P&L

+$58

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.03

Sortino Ratio

27.38

Max Drawdown

56.8%

ROI

2.7%

Profit Factor

1.41

Kelly Fraction

0.077

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

050.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	7.5¢	22	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 4?	BUY	94.5¢	0.13	Mar 3
Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	98.3¢	0.35	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 4?	BUY	94.5¢	40.182	Mar 3
Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	98.3¢	178.824	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 3?	BUY	5.5¢	202.109	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on March 3?	BUY	1.9¢	121.842	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 3?	BUY	99.3¢	1.3	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 3?	BUY	99.3¢	217.143	Mar 2
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	BUY	96.7¢	49.394	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 2?	BUY	1.4¢	252.857	Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	BUY	99.4¢	1.19	Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	BUY	99.4¢	225	Mar 1
Will Ted Danson win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	BUY	6.3¢	58.102	Feb 28
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in February?	BUY	98.7¢	0.75	Feb 27
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in February?	BUY	98.7¢	225.385	Feb 27
Will Meta (META) close at >$690 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	BUY	1.4¢	129.286	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?	BUY	2.4¢	85.417	Jan 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?	BUY	96.7¢	0.12	Jan 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?	BUY	96.7¢	114.545	Jan 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing50.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.8%

Win Consistency64.1%

Profit Factor1.31

Drawdown Resilience1.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity78 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,1640d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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