cidesui77

0x8fbb1f...9eb4c6

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.1%

Total P&L

+$1.2K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.18

Sortino Ratio

0.62

Max Drawdown

37.0%

ROI

16.2%

Profit Factor

1.90

Kelly Fraction

0.204

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	30.864	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	BUY	50.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	BUY	22.8¢	109.747	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.2¢	2,139.589	Mar 4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	38.0¢	65.789	Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	58.0¢	43.103	Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	BUY	20.0¢	100	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	84.0¢	59.524	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	98.039	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY	60.0¢	83.333	Feb 21
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	59.0¢	84.746	Feb 21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	5.8¢	172.414	Feb 21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	39.0¢	128.205	Feb 21
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	30.5¢	163.876	Jan 16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY	54.0¢	185.185	Jan 16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?	BUY	65.0¢	76.923	Jan 16
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	166.667	Jan 16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?	BUY	29.0¢	172.414	Jan 16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	1,250	Jan 16
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?	BUY	30.0¢	100	Jan 16

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.1%

Win Consistency53.0%

Profit Factor1.12

Drawdown Resilience0.90

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.90

Weekly Sharpe est.0.69

Trading Activity74 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,5340d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue