Cisomate2901

0x781699...aaaf9d

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.3%

Total P&L

-$9.2K

Trade Count

805

Sharpe Ratio

0.28

Sortino Ratio

2.21

Max Drawdown

58.2%

ROI

-21.7%

Profit Factor

0.19

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	15.81	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	320	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	130	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	16.49	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	46.49	Mar 5
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	20.7¢	9.85	Mar 5
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	20.8¢	500	Mar 5
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	20.7¢	16.51	Mar 5
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	20.7¢	16.51	Mar 5
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	20.8¢	500	Mar 5
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	20.7¢	15.08	Mar 5
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	20.6¢	7.74	Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	79.1¢	182.94	Mar 5
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?	BUY	25.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	72.9¢	73.52	Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	9.8¢	100	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	61.0¢	405.41	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	71.8¢	181.5	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	72.0¢	18.84	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	72.0¢	38	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%

Win Consistency53.4%

Profit Factor0.54

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity378 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,3366d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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