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claimonchuck

claimonchuck

0x73bc54...8e335f
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
63.1%
Total P&L
+$6.2K
Trade Count
708
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Sortino Ratio
-0.38
Max Drawdown
891.3%
ROI
4.6%
Profit Factor
7.85
Kelly Fraction
0.551
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?SELL2.0¢59.99Mar 5
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL42.0¢112.57Mar 5
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL42.0¢23.81Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY67.0¢8.394Mar 5
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL42.0¢28Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY67.0¢10.95Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY67.0¢10.95Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY67.0¢10.95Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY67.0¢10.95Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY67.0¢90.5Mar 5
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL42.0¢35.62Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL99.7¢10Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL99.7¢32.05Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL99.7¢7.021Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL99.7¢10Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL99.7¢89Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL99.7¢669.16Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL99.7¢25Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL99.7¢35Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL99.7¢7Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%11%10–20%19%20–30%11%30–50%11%50–70%3%70–80%4%80–90%32%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.2%
Win Consistency49.0%
Profit Factor0.81
Drawdown Resilience0.65
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity708 trades · 111 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$12,96037d profit74d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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