claimyours

0x45169b...bc90f2@HairkisanT

Smart Score

Win Rate

17.9%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.20

Sortino Ratio

4.34

Max Drawdown

246.1%

ROI

19.2%

Profit Factor

1.26

Kelly Fraction

0.036

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	97.5¢	2.051	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 5?	BUY	1.1¢	90.909	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?	BUY	5.9¢	16.949	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 5?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?	BUY	5.9¢	16.949	Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token on March 14?	BUY	1.4¢	73.297	Mar 3
No token launch by March 31	BUY	2.9¢	34.261	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 4?	BUY	42.0¢	2.381	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 4?	BUY	2.6¢	38.462	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 4?	BUY	18.0¢	5.556	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	3.9¢	25.641	Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 1?	BUY	22.0¢	5	Feb 28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	15.0¢	6.667	Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 1?	BUY	3.2¢	31.25	Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 1?	BUY	21.1¢	4.739	Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 1?	BUY	3.4¢	29.412	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	6.25	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Feb 26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 26?	BUY	7.6¢	13.158	Feb 25

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.5%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor0.61

Drawdown Resilience0.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50

Weekly Sharpe est.0.38

Trading Activity28 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$290d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue