Clarakk

0x3c5192...03872d

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.3%

Total P&L

-$97

Trade Count

419

Sharpe Ratio

-0.27

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

329.2%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.76

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	97.2¢	100	Mar 5
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	99.3¢	90	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	96.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	135	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?	BUY	96.4¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?	BUY	98.5¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?	BUY	98.4¢	1.06	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	130	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	SELL	98.0¢	90	Feb 6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.7¢	100	Feb 6
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	93.0¢	80	Feb 6
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	92.0¢	80	Feb 6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.6¢	100	Feb 6
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	97.9¢	90	Feb 6
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	79.0¢	50	Feb 6
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	96.0¢	370	Feb 6
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.8¢	95	Feb 5
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	SELL	95.0¢	100	Feb 5
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?	SELL	99.1¢	105	Feb 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?	SELL	98.8¢	109	Feb 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.7%

Win Consistency45.6%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity419 trades · 60 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,72131d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue