cmungerback

0x071ec5...06c323@mungerjapa15076

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.9%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.19

Sortino Ratio

0.00

Max Drawdown

1.6%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

477.84

Kelly Fraction

0.887

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

070.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?	BUY	99.8¢	151.473	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?	BUY	99.8¢	1,861.653	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	97.9¢	51.072	Mar 2
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	25.025	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Mar 2
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	50.865	Mar 2
Hyperlend FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	99.8¢	1,603.187	Feb 26
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of February?	BUY	99.9¢	479.74	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23?	BUY	99.9¢	479.259	Feb 22
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	36.623	Feb 22
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	15.275	Feb 16
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	SELL	98.9¢	5.13	Jan 24
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	BUY	97.4¢	5.133	Jan 22

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active70.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.88

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)64.3%

Win Consistency77.8%

Profit Factor1.84

Drawdown Resilience1.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.48

Weekly Sharpe est.1.13

Trading Activity13 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,8431d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue