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ConfusedUngaBunga

ConfusedUngaBunga

0x1e109e...4bbeee
Smart Score
54
Win Rate
58.2%
Total P&L
+$7.5K
Trade Count
995
Sharpe Ratio
1.40
Sortino Ratio
278.49
Max Drawdown
1188.9%
ROI
391.3%
Profit Factor
126.67
Kelly Fraction
0.577
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
053.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on March 5?SELL1.1¢15.45Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 5?SELL1.1¢189.61Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?SELL1.1¢120.11Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?SELL1.1¢77.86Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?SELL1.1¢12.93Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?SELL0.8¢60.99Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?SELL0.7¢5Mar 3
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $295 on March 4?SELL20.6¢23.63Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?SELL0.9¢5.1Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 5?SELL1.1¢11.06Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?SELL1.4¢6.11Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?SELL1.4¢16Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?BUY0.1¢7.14Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?BUY0.1¢4.99Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?BUY0.1¢7Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?BUY0.1¢3.77Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?SELL0.7¢78.96Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?BUY0.1¢14.19Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?SELL0.7¢42.57Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 5?BUY0.1¢34Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%100%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.95
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.8%
Win Consistency59.2%
Profit Factor1.39
Drawdown Resilience1.13
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.13
Weekly Sharpe est.0.86
Trading Activity995 trades · 42 active days
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P&L Calendar
+$72123d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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