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conkerbro-mm

0x64abed...8f5a3d
Smart Score
74
Win Rate
75.0%
Total P&L
+$6
Trade Count
18
Sharpe Ratio
14.78
Sortino Ratio
0.00
Max Drawdown
5.5%
ROI
3.1%
Profit Factor
50.50
Kelly Fraction
0.735
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
073.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY11.0¢30.27Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?SELL23.0¢40Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?SELL79.0¢39.99Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?SELL89.0¢2.75Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY11.0¢19.722Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY20.0¢8.02Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY20.0¢31.98Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?SELL89.0¢45Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?SELL89.0¢1.124Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?SELL89.0¢1.124Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY11.0¢50Mar 5
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY17.0¢12.024Mar 5
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY17.0¢12.53Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY12.0¢50Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY87.0¢50Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY71.0¢33.13Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY71.0¢6.862Mar 4
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?BUY22.0¢40Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%50%10–20%25%20–30%30–50%50–70%17%70–80%8%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active73.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)67.2%
Win Consistency83.3%
Profit Factor1.92
Drawdown Resilience1.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.55
Weekly Sharpe est.1.18

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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