conotocaurius

0x1104d9...c5002a

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.9%

Total P&L

-$2.9K

Trade Count

205

Sharpe Ratio

0.52

Sortino Ratio

1.14

Max Drawdown

604.9%

ROI

-10.7%

Profit Factor

0.21

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	SELL	47.7¢	58.75	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	58.43	Mar 4
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	SELL	36.0¢	63.27	Mar 4
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	SELL	35.8¢	65.32	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	6.571	Mar 4
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	SELL	35.8¢	14.13	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	1,737.064	Mar 4
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	SELL	48.0¢	2,822.72	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	3.141	Mar 4
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	SELL	49.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	190.358	Mar 4
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	SELL	48.6¢	303.45	Mar 4
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	7.45	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	84.0¢	43.405	Mar 4
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	38.38	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	88.9¢	116.918	Mar 4
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	SELL	36.2¢	87.072	Mar 4
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	SELL	36.2¢	100	Mar 4
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	SELL	36.2¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	86.8¢	13.244	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency41.9%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity205 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,6322d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue