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ConsensusOfCredibleReporting

0x0275ac...22b936
Smart Score
66
Win Rate
27.8%
Total P&L
+$388
Trade Count
3,996
Sharpe Ratio
3.89
Sortino Ratio
37.52
Max Drawdown
14.5%
ROI
7.3%
Profit Factor
1.57
Kelly Fraction
0.101
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
066.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL34.0¢0.38Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL34.0¢5.676Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢14.22Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?SELL23.0¢9.5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?SELL25.8¢7.55Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY22.0¢7.55Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?SELL9.0¢5.35Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY29.0¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?SELL8.0¢2.92Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?SELL8.0¢44.338Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY25.1¢6.94Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL34.0¢0.1Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL34.0¢2.941Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL34.0¢2.941Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY29.0¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?SELL9.0¢40Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?SELL19.0¢11.75Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 6?SELL18.0¢5.97Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 6?SELL18.0¢0.03Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%19%< 10%24%10–20%27%20–30%29%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active66.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)60.3%
Win Consistency75.2%
Profit Factor1.72
Drawdown Resilience1.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.39
Weekly Sharpe est.1.06
Trading Activity3,996 trades · 5 active days
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P&L Calendar
$572d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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