Constancefung

0x9a5d66...4d4261

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.7%

Total P&L

+$2.4K

Trade Count

2,124

Sharpe Ratio

0.33

Sortino Ratio

4.19

Max Drawdown

14438.8%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

1.52

Kelly Fraction

0.295

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	95.1¢	200	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	77.6¢	8.44	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	83.3¢	20	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	83.3¢	7.25	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	83.3¢	7.74	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	83.3¢	5.01	Mar 5
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?	BUY	94.6¢	1,090.75	Mar 3
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.0¢	1,000	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	97.0¢	23.66	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	97.0¢	43	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	97.0¢	200	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	97.0¢	33.333	Mar 3
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	98.5¢	493.4	Mar 3
Trump out as President before 2027?	BUY	81.0¢	700	Mar 3
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	99.0¢	209.49	Mar 3
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	95.0¢	55.88	Mar 3
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	94.0¢	20	Mar 3
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	93.0¢	7.26	Mar 3
Trump out as President before 2027?	SELL	82.0¢	63.13	Mar 2
Trump out as President before 2027?	SELL	82.0¢	400	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.74

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.8%

Win Consistency56.4%

Profit Factor0.82

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity2,124 trades · 117 active days

P&L Calendar

$54,32340d profit76d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue