Craftylafti

0x37efe5...2f93ee

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.6%

Total P&L

-$260

Trade Count

307

Sharpe Ratio

0.03

Sortino Ratio

0.19

Max Drawdown

2074.9%

ROI

-2.6%

Profit Factor

0.77

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	32.5¢	99.815	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	30.9¢	104.93	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	27.3¢	174.579	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	19.2¢	17.5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	20.0¢	221.16	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	23.6¢	419.75	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	41.9¢	238.661	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	81.2¢	245.13	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	89.9¢	111.513	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	74.8¢	133.627	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	49.9¢	200.291	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	93.2¢	98.712	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	22.0¢	227.728	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	SELL	83.3¢	178.46	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	178.463	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	3.7¢	133.665	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	SELL	38.0¢	203.08	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	36.9¢	203.079	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	SELL	38.0¢	202.7	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.9%

Win Consistency32.8%

Profit Factor0.25

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity307 trades · 49 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,51610d profit39d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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