crAzybutpRo

crAzybutpRo

0x61bbf4...7b66f2
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
26.2%
Total P&L
+$3
Trade Count
333
Sharpe Ratio
1.78
Sortino Ratio
18.60
Max Drawdown
296.5%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
1.17
Kelly Fraction
0.037
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
028/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?SELL2.0¢139.94Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL0.2¢199.92Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY26.0¢40Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?BUY8.2¢71.25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?BUY8.2¢23.745Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?BUY8.2¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 5?BUY13.0¢1Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢8.33Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢6.67Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?BUY12.0¢36Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?BUY12.0¢42Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?BUY12.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 6?BUY3.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY8.3¢33Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY6.1¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY6.1¢10Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%55%< 10%7%10–20%18%20–30%15%30–50%3%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.54
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.5%
Win Consistency44.6%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity333 trades · 8 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1812d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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