crazyswamp2

0x3f7413...026e19

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.6%

Total P&L

+$367

Trade Count

1,067

Sharpe Ratio

0.85

Sortino Ratio

3.49

Max Drawdown

395.0%

ROI

4.3%

Profit Factor

0.50

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	2.2¢	12.93	Mar 5
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	2.2¢	12.93	Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?	SELL	65.0¢	0.58	Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?	BUY	66.0¢	0.581	Mar 5
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	2.2¢	5	Mar 5
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	SELL	2.3¢	6.57	Mar 5
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	2.2¢	26.903	Mar 5
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	19.0¢	22.5	Mar 5
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	20.0¢	2.5	Mar 5
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	20.0¢	77.5	Mar 5
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	20.0¢	40	Mar 5
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	SELL	45.0¢	11.11	Mar 5
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	BUY	45.0¢	11.11	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?	SELL	5.0¢	60	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?	BUY	7.0¢	40	Mar 5
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	SELL	10.0¢	5.01	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?	SELL	76.0¢	20	Mar 2
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	BUY	10.0¢	5	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	20	Mar 2
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	1.2	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.15

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.5%

Win Consistency59.2%

Profit Factor0.07

Drawdown Resilience0.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity1,057 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

+$3955d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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