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cregbtb

0x71634e...78f867
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
76.8%
Total P&L
+$2.6K
Trade Count
248
Sharpe Ratio
0.68
Sortino Ratio
7.59
Max Drawdown
136.8%
ROI
30.5%
Profit Factor
5.84
Kelly Fraction
0.636
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
046.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.1¢120Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.0¢120Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢70Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢70Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.6¢90Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.5¢90Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY3.3¢100Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢100Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY98.0¢120Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY2.1¢120Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢130Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢130Mar 4
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL98.6¢80Mar 4
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY98.8¢80Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY2.1¢50Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY98.0¢50Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.3¢120Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.8¢120Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.5¢100Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.6¢100Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%39%< 10%3%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%39%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing46.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.57
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.6%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor1.22
Drawdown Resilience0.98
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.98
Weekly Sharpe est.0.75
Trading Activity248 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,5740d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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