cryptowhat

0x6684c2...2295d1

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.8%

Total P&L

+$5.0K

Trade Count

3,988

Sharpe Ratio

0.02

Sortino Ratio

0.07

Max Drawdown

53818.2%

ROI

4.1%

Profit Factor

1.36

Kelly Fraction

0.165

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?	SELL	9.0¢	32.77	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	BUY	77.0¢	12.987	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	46.1¢	46.06	Mar 5
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	BUY	46.0¢	43.478	Mar 5
Greg Bovino fired/resigns by March 31?	SELL	5.0¢	35.71	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	15.69	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	18.329	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	95.6¢	15.69	Mar 4
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?	SELL	93.7¢	11.37	Mar 4
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)	SELL	44.3¢	15.48	Mar 4
Kings vs. Blue Jackets	SELL	46.0¢	28.39	Mar 4
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	24.0¢	37	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	16.0¢	21.69	Mar 4
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	SELL	86.0¢	6.29	Mar 4
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?	BUY	91.0¢	15.495	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	71.0¢	14.085	Mar 4
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?	SELL	98.1¢	13.51	Mar 4
Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars?	SELL	98.6¢	11	Mar 4
Will "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said at the Oscars?	BUY	90.0¢	9.307	Mar 4
Will "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars?	BUY	77.5¢	12.911	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.83

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%

Win Consistency47.7%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity3,988 trades · 106 active days

P&L Calendar

$12,99724d profit82d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue