ctuyyvh

0x060465...b0a446

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.6%

Total P&L

-$19

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.65

Sortino Ratio

4.05

Max Drawdown

2.4%

ROI

-1.1%

Profit Factor

-0.05

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	28.285	Mar 4
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	19.619	Feb 25
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	19.279	Feb 10
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	99.4¢	21.54	Feb 10
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	98.4¢	21.545	Feb 3
Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	SELL	99.4¢	24.8	Feb 3
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	97.1¢	52.39	Feb 3
Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	BUY	99.6¢	24.808	Jan 27
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	0.6¢	1,236.66	Jan 27
Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?	BUY	99.7¢	15.958	Jan 22
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	0.6¢	1,236.667	Jan 22
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?	SELL	99.6¢	39.73	Jan 22
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.8¢	2,666.66	Jan 15
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?	BUY	99.4¢	39.738	Jan 15
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	0.9¢	2,666.667	Jan 14
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.2¢	41.33	Jan 14
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BUY	96.0¢	52.396	Jan 6
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?	BUY	99.6¢	36.33	Dec 28
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	46.24	Dec 28
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	46.246	Dec 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.2%

Win Consistency77.8%

Profit Factor1.12

Drawdown Resilience0.91

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.91

Weekly Sharpe est.0.69

Trading Activity62 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$32813d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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