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cwc909

cwc909

0x8db4f2...479c07
Smart Score
57
Win Rate
40.3%
Total P&L
+$25.1K
Trade Count
3,996
Sharpe Ratio
6.56
Sortino Ratio
102.84
Max Drawdown
183.7%
ROI
64.2%
Profit Factor
16.57
Kelly Fraction
0.379
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
057.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL64.0¢2Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY86.0¢200Mar 4
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?SELL30.0¢22.31Mar 4
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?BUY44.0¢13Mar 4
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?SELL3.1¢2.97Mar 4
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?SELL0.3¢14.2Mar 4
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?SELL0.4¢55.8Mar 4
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?SELL16.3¢41Mar 4
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?SELL97.5¢20Mar 4
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be 12 or more?SELL0.7¢70Mar 4
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY63.0¢20Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL87.0¢22.989Mar 4
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?SELL1.7¢38.13Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY86.0¢196.95Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY86.0¢3.05Mar 4
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL26.0¢4Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL7.0¢15Mar 4
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL26.0¢14.5Mar 4
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?SELL0.5¢20Mar 4
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?SELL48.0¢20Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%13%10–20%9%20–30%16%30–50%12%50–70%6%70–80%14%80–90%24%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active57.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.15
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)52.0%
Win Consistency85.7%
Profit Factor1.49
Drawdown Resilience1.20
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.20
Weekly Sharpe est.0.92
Trading Activity3,996 trades · 9 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$10,9409d profit0d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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