Cynic

0x4b3c5b...da7cd3@CynicSong

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.7%

Total P&L

+$15.6K

Trade Count

3,984

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

0.93

Max Drawdown

510.1%

ROI

2.6%

Profit Factor

1.13

Kelly Fraction

0.057

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	33.7¢	88.19	Mar 5
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	33.8¢	17.81	Mar 5
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	33.7¢	10	Mar 5
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	33.8¢	119.59	Mar 5
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	33.9¢	120.41	Mar 5
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	33.6¢	105	Mar 5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	23.0¢	7.89	Mar 4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	78.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	32.8¢	127.17	Mar 4
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	32.9¢	28.83	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	26.49	Mar 4
Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of March?	BUY	71.0¢	226.49	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	99.27	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	BUY	86.0¢	248.9	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will Meta (META) close above $620 end of March?	BUY	24.0¢	226.33	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	35.3¢	0.02	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	35.3¢	16.507	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.94

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.5%

Win Consistency46.1%

Profit Factor0.44

Drawdown Resilience0.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36

Weekly Sharpe est.0.27

Trading Activity3,984 trades · 132 active days

P&L Calendar

$456,6797d profit125d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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