d1kbnldv

0x0127af...023935

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.9%

Total P&L

-$12

Trade Count

518

Sharpe Ratio

-0.48

Sortino Ratio

-0.57

Max Drawdown

633.3%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

4.34

Kelly Fraction

0.530

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	93.3¢	50.22	Mar 5
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	96.9¢	37.15	Mar 4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	97.1¢	37.15	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	SELL	90.0¢	43.2	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	93.0¢	43.2	Mar 4
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	SELL	97.5¢	43.22	Mar 3
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	BUY	97.6¢	43.23	Mar 3
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	93.3¢	44.59	Mar 3
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	44.59	Mar 2
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.5¢	47.05	Mar 1
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.6¢	47.05	Mar 1
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	96.5¢	49.22	Mar 1
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	96.6¢	49.22	Mar 1
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	91.3¢	49.4	Feb 28
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	91.5¢	49.41	Feb 28
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	97.7¢	42.82	Feb 28
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	42.82	Feb 28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	96.5¢	40.81	Feb 28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.6¢	40.81	Feb 28
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	97.2¢	47.5	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.0%

Win Consistency31.7%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity518 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$6813d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue