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daha231

0x33d1b2...8c18a1
Smart Score
54
Win Rate
68.4%
Total P&L
+$24
Trade Count
46
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
Sortino Ratio
1.16
Max Drawdown
75.8%
ROI
0.4%
Profit Factor
11.70
Kelly Fraction
0.626
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
053.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.5¢260Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?BUY98.6¢264.341Feb 24
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?BUY98.4¢260.64Jan 26
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY94.6¢250Jan 21
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.5¢170Jan 16
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY1.0¢170Jan 13
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.1¢240Jan 12
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.4¢240Jan 9
Maduro out in 2025?BUY97.4¢239.997Dec 24
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?BUY99.8¢230Dec 10
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.8¢240Dec 8
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.9¢240Dec 5
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢240Dec 3
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.1¢240Dec 2
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?SELL0.9¢240Dec 1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY1.1¢240Nov 30
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.3¢300Nov 28
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.4¢300Nov 26
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?SELL95.6¢250Nov 25
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?BUY95.9¢250Nov 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%35%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%58%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.95
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.8%
Win Consistency46.2%
Profit Factor1.39
Drawdown Resilience1.13
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.13
Weekly Sharpe est.0.86
Trading Activity46 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,47920d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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