Daniell66

0x6114b3...fca90a

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.2%

Total P&L

+$3.2K

Trade Count

394

Sharpe Ratio

-0.18

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

44166.7%

ROI

5.2%

Profit Factor

7.81

Kelly Fraction

0.542

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?	BUY	99.8¢	49.098	Oct 27
Brewers vs. Nationals	BUY	58.0¢	6	Aug 1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.9¢	8	Jul 17
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?	BUY	99.8¢	5	May 27
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?	BUY	99.8¢	5	May 11
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Mar 26
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?	BUY	99.7¢	3.009	Mar 16
Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?	BUY	99.4¢	5	Mar 7
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Feb 25
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	6	Feb 15
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?	BUY	98.5¢	30	Jan 10
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?	BUY	80.0¢	37.5	Jan 4
Cowboys vs. Eagles	BUY	75.0¢	6	Dec 28
Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?	BUY	86.0¢	230	Nov 10
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	66.3¢	30	Oct 30
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	SELL	65.7¢	30	Oct 29
Giants vs. Steelers	BUY	72.0¢	5	Oct 28
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	BUY	37.4¢	30	Oct 24
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	60.0¢	510	Oct 24
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?	BUY	57.0¢	30	Oct 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.0%

Win Consistency47.4%

Profit Factor0.77

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity5 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$700d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue