Daphnedas

0x5ca789...42f890

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.6%

Total P&L

+$66

Trade Count

400

Sharpe Ratio

-0.02

Sortino Ratio

-0.02

Max Drawdown

127.0%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.16

Kelly Fraction

0.117

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	BUY	99.1¢	90	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	96.0¢	90	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	BUY	92.4¢	120	Mar 5
Will BNB dip to $400 in March?	BUY	96.0¢	90	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	120	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?	BUY	98.4¢	110	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	120	Mar 5
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	98.5¢	80	Feb 14
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SELL	92.0¢	120	Feb 12
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	96.3¢	401	Feb 6
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	97.5¢	70	Feb 6
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.7¢	33.27	Feb 5
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	SELL	95.0¢	95	Feb 5
Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.3¢	80	Feb 4
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	98.4¢	80	Feb 3
Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	98.2¢	80	Feb 3
Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	BUY	98.8¢	390	Feb 3
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SELL	97.8¢	90	Feb 3
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	90.0¢	47.59	Jan 31
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	90.0¢	52.41	Jan 31

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.4%

Win Consistency47.2%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity400 trades · 62 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,13630d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue