dariioooaa

0x25068d...fc3f35

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.6%

Total P&L

+$62

Trade Count

741

Sharpe Ratio

-0.41

Sortino Ratio

-0.97

Max Drawdown

1112.1%

ROI

3.2%

Profit Factor

2.77

Kelly Fraction

0.266

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.6¢	0.48	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.3¢	0.09	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	88.1¢	1.06	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	88.8¢	6.5	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.7¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.4¢	5	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	69.4¢	9	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.0¢	6.13	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	33.36	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	3.48	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.55	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.06	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.11	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.07	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.15	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.08	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.07	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.02	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.07	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	0.19	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.7%

Win Consistency42.2%

Profit Factor0.45

Drawdown Resilience0.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity741 trades · 62 active days

P&L Calendar

$1927d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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