darknessdragon

0x3c50ae...3622fd
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
33.6%
Total P&L
-$261
Trade Count
489
Sharpe Ratio
0.94
Sortino Ratio
13.10
Max Drawdown
1654.9%
ROI
-2.6%
Profit Factor
0.67
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
023.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?SELL27.0¢20Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY27.0¢20Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?SELL46.0¢39.98Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY44.0¢39.98Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?SELL54.0¢49.98Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY57.0¢50Mar 5
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?SELL83.0¢100Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?BUY84.0¢100Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL33.0¢8.69Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL33.0¢5Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY27.0¢13.699Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?SELL31.0¢29.81Mar 3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?BUY31.0¢29.812Mar 3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?SELL64.0¢50Mar 3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY67.0¢50Mar 3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?SELL70.0¢50Mar 3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?BUY81.0¢50Mar 3
Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?SELL39.1¢50Mar 3
Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY46.0¢50Mar 3
Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?SELL37.5¢35.43Mar 3
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%9%10–20%10%20–30%30%30–50%16%50–70%9%70–80%4%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.8%
Win Consistency45.6%
Profit Factor0.62
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity489 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5918d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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