darthvader0524

0x041b19...cfde53

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

+$1.4K

Trade Count

288

Sharpe Ratio

1.19

Sortino Ratio

57.41

Max Drawdown

152.9%

ROI

22.1%

Profit Factor

5.12

Kelly Fraction

0.322

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	22.8¢	261.092	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	31.0¢	192	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	33.0¢	207.364	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	26.4¢	259.26	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	27.1¢	259.262	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	50.3¢	139.63	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	46.0¢	139.63	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	35.0¢	183.64	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	28.9¢	183.641	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	28.0¢	189.78	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	27.0¢	189.778	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.4¢	80.86	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	61.1¢	80.859	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	65.0¢	76.01	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	65.3¢	76.015	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	61.4¢	80.78	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	80.789	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	51.0¢	90.28	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	28.0¢	90.286	Mar 3
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	24.8¢	101.84	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.7%

Win Consistency50.9%

Profit Factor1.19

Drawdown Resilience0.96

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity288 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$6364d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue