defiweb

0x171346...3f10fa

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.2%

Total P&L

+$735

Trade Count

3,952

Sharpe Ratio

0.46

Sortino Ratio

0.33

Max Drawdown

2923.1%

ROI

1.8%

Profit Factor

1.60

Kelly Fraction

0.349

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	20	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	20	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	20	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	20	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	16.27	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	95.3¢	1.69	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	95.3¢	18.306	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	14.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 6?	BUY	91.3¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	5.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	92.9¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 5?	BUY	80.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	19.99	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	94.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	92.0¢	10	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.6%

Win Consistency77.3%

Profit Factor0.70

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity3,952 trades · 63 active days

P&L Calendar

$10,3857d profit56d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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