degendaniel

0x0b4af4...c7611b

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.8%

Total P&L

+$21

Trade Count

266

Sharpe Ratio

1.23

Sortino Ratio

38.69

Max Drawdown

245570.2%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

1.21

Kelly Fraction

0.054

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in March 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	15	Mar 5
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	36.97	Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	SELL	94.0¢	15	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	92.7¢	15	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	20.84	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?	BUY	86.3¢	10	Mar 4
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?	SELL	95.2¢	37.98	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 9?	BUY	93.0¢	10	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.7%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity266 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,4910d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue