Delicious-mango

0x5a8fa6...701553

Smart Score

Win Rate

15.9%

Total P&L

-$252

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.63

Sortino Ratio

22.99

Max Drawdown

416.2%

ROI

-31.2%

Profit Factor

0.35

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	10.4¢	28.781	Mar 5
Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?	BUY	21.0¢	19.048	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	41.0¢	17	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	17.0¢	30	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	25.0¢	17	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	99.9¢	23.43	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.8¢	50.76	Mar 3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	BUY	21.5¢	4.17	Mar 1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	BUY	21.5¢	0.83	Mar 1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	BUY	21.5¢	20	Mar 1
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	20	Mar 1
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	45.48	Mar 1
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	4.52	Mar 1
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	24.8¢	20	Mar 1
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	1.2¢	85.943	Feb 28
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	1.8¢	110.556	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	37.0¢	10.811	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	28.0¢	50	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	BUY	5.0¢	60	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	BUY	15.0¢	33.333	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.15

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.5%

Win Consistency31.8%

Profit Factor0.07

Drawdown Resilience0.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity73 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$2992d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue