derft

0x6ba2fa...71a83c

Smart Score

Win Rate

96.2%

Total P&L

+$19

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.33

Sortino Ratio

3.63

Max Drawdown

4.4%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

36.08

Kelly Fraction

0.935

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

078.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Solana reach $160 in March?	BUY	99.3¢	531.86	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	528.138	Feb 23
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?	SELL	99.9¢	528.14	Feb 20
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	528.14	Feb 17
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	SELL	99.6¢	529.2	Feb 9
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	BUY	99.5¢	529.2	Feb 5
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	472.495	Jan 28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	14.014	Jan 28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	20.02	Jan 28
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	20.02	Jan 28
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?	SELL	99.7¢	527.13	Jan 28
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?	BUY	99.5¢	527.136	Jan 20
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?	SELL	99.4¢	527.67	Jan 20
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?	BUY	99.4¢	527.676	Jan 12
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?	SELL	99.7¢	526.09	Jan 12
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?	BUY	99.7¢	526.09	Jan 7
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	524.504	Dec 25
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	99.9¢	524.51	Dec 25
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	524.519	Dec 4
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	SELL	99.0¢	114.2	Dec 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro78.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)71.6%

Win Consistency84.6%

Profit Factor2.05

Drawdown Resilience1.65

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.65

Weekly Sharpe est.1.26

Trading Activity34 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,9483d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue