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Deus118

0x04ebaf...331ab3
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
13.8%
Total P&L
+$120
Trade Count
861
Sharpe Ratio
1.22
Sortino Ratio
37.79
Max Drawdown
252.7%
ROI
6.3%
Profit Factor
3.55
Kelly Fraction
0.099
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL11.7¢19.99Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL6.1¢50Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL1.1¢100Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL0.2¢600Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.3¢435.59Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.5¢100Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.3¢18.54Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.3¢45.87Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY6.4¢50Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.2¢34.52Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.2¢62.93Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.2¢2.55Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY17.2¢1.51Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY17.2¢12.45Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY17.2¢6.039Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL17.7¢20Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY17.7¢15.5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY17.7¢4.5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL18.1¢20Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL15.0¢20Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%63%< 10%12%10–20%6%20–30%10%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.90
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.5%
Win Consistency65.7%
Profit Factor0.90
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity861 trades · 62 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$4129d profit32d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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