df7d

0x6e93e8...0c8af8@songkqx1c

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.1%

Total P&L

+$116

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.14

Sortino Ratio

-0.29

Max Drawdown

272.2%

ROI

9.3%

Profit Factor

1.45

Kelly Fraction

0.116

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	35.4¢	33.87	Mar 5
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5	BUY	53.0¢	47.17	Mar 5
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5	BUY	53.0¢	41.509	Mar 5
Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5	BUY	54.0¢	40.741	Mar 5
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?	SELL	99.0¢	45	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	61.0¢	54.098	Feb 27
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?	BUY	60.2¢	45	Feb 8
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	35.0¢	100	Feb 8
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	BUY	41.2¢	200	Jan 25
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?	SELL	10.2¢	64.57	Jan 24
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?	SELL	10.9¢	179.85	Jan 24
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?	SELL	11.0¢	197	Jan 24
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?	SELL	8.9¢	266.16	Jan 24
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?	BUY	9.4¢	266.168	Jan 24
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?	BUY	12.6¢	261.575	Jan 24
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?	BUY	13.9¢	179.856	Jan 24
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	4.6¢	131.613	Jan 24
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	BUY	58.0¢	10.345	Jan 22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	29.0¢	37.931	Jan 22
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	BUY	63.0¢	7.937	Jan 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.4%

Win Consistency37.1%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity44 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$7262d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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