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DFG437645

0x7b9434...581dca
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
68.0%
Total P&L
+$9
Trade Count
441
Sharpe Ratio
-1.58
Sortino Ratio
-1.58
Max Drawdown
1916.1%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.71
Kelly Fraction
0.282
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
010.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢11.111Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.9¢5.23Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL83.0¢7.1Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.1¢7.5Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢8.24Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢19.24Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.5¢7.035Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢7.216Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.6¢7.479Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL96.3¢8.28Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY96.6¢8.281Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL74.7¢13.35Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ETBUY99.5¢8.04Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY74.9¢13.351Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL67.0¢13.43Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ETBUY99.8¢6.012Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ETBUY99.0¢8.081Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5PM ETSELL99.9¢7.15Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5PM ETBUY97.9¢7.15Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%17%50–70%7%70–80%8%80–90%65%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing10.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%
Win Consistency42.2%
Profit Factor0.28
Drawdown Resilience0.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.17
Trading Activity441 trades · 36 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4599d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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