DFH54TYEW

0x0bde58...62d8b6

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.6%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

200

Sharpe Ratio

-4.38

Sortino Ratio

-5.04

Max Drawdown

5099.6%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

4.19

Kelly Fraction

0.750

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	82.0¢	8.537	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	76.0¢	7.14	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	10.94	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	10.917	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	91.6¢	8.72	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	91.7¢	8.724	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	8.081	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	93.0¢	10.753	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.9¢	10.21	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	7.17	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.7¢	7.165	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	19.6	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	19.608	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	10.2	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	8.016	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	8.163	Mar 3
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	11.765	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.4¢	6.14	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.4%

Win Consistency31.1%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity200 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$2771d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue