dingdongboom

0x2a6d93...1e3779

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.5%

Total P&L

-$3.5K

Trade Count

245

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Sortino Ratio

0.24

Max Drawdown

1622.7%

ROI

-16.8%

Profit Factor

0.62

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	50.0¢	389	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	49.0¢	316.38	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	49.0¢	5	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	49.0¢	60.02	Feb 19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	94.1¢	405	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	1,220.732	Feb 19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	94.1¢	532	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	49.8¢	2,029.226	Feb 19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	94.2¢	1,072.5	Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9PM ET	SELL	2.0¢	100	Jan 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9PM ET	BUY	41.6¢	100	Jan 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5PM ET	BUY	30.0¢	66.667	Jan 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4PM ET	BUY	40.0¢	75	Jan 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4PM ET	BUY	58.0¢	86.188	Jan 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3PM ET	BUY	12.0¢	100	Jan 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2PM ET	BUY	55.7¢	100	Jan 4
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	SELL	50.0¢	200	Jan 4
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	BUY	50.0¢	200	Jan 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	34.0¢	415.36	Jan 2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	34.0¢	500	Jan 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.26

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.4%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.12

Drawdown Resilience0.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity245 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$10,4424d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue