DirkHayley

0x2ca42c...eec111

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

-$12

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.86

Sortino Ratio

4.61

Max Drawdown

330.0%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.57

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.9¢	499.66	Mar 5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	499.668	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	13.02	Feb 8
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.6¢	503.18	Feb 7
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.7¢	503.18	Feb 6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	19.27	Feb 4
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	0.7¢	6,099.79	Feb 4
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	0.7¢	6,099.79	Feb 4
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7.37	Feb 3
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	12.06	Feb 3
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	504.67	Feb 2
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	504.674	Feb 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	18.86	Feb 1
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.2¢	517.64	Feb 1
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	517.643	Jan 30
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 11PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	9.58	Jan 29
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 11PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	5.45	Jan 29

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.4%

Win Consistency30.0%

Profit Factor0.21

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity17 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$464d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue