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0x51af92...aa79d1
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
78.9%
Total P&L
+$53
Trade Count
24
Sharpe Ratio
-0.81
Sortino Ratio
-0.56
Max Drawdown
793.3%
ROI
1.6%
Profit Factor
26.91
Kelly Fraction
0.760
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
028.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 6?BUY99.6¢39.157Mar 4
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢740Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on March 6?BUY99.8¢52.104Mar 4
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢740Mar 3
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.9¢593Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 61°F or below on March 1?BUY99.8¢57.143Feb 28
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢593.007Feb 27
Nuggets vs. ThunderBUY73.0¢201.37Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 0°C or below on February 26?BUY99.9¢44.044Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 27°F or below on February 26?BUY99.9¢33.033Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 26?BUY99.8¢33.066Feb 24
Will Solana reach $190 in February?BUY99.9¢25.025Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 46-47°F on January 27?BUY99.3¢29.204Jan 27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on January 27?BUY99.9¢25.025Jan 27
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?BUY99.9¢28.028Jan 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?BUY99.9¢28.028Jan 24
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?BUY99.9¢17.017Jan 22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on January 20?BUY99.9¢28.028Jan 20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on January 20?BUY99.9¢28.028Jan 20
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?BUY99.9¢15.015Jan 14
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%95%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.57
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.0%
Win Consistency52.6%
Profit Factor0.74
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity24 trades · 16 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6872d profit14d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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