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dmgmpm

0x11d5fe...7c1b17
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
28.1%
Total P&L
+$32.4K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
2.00
Sortino Ratio
22.28
Max Drawdown
72.2%
ROI
40.6%
Profit Factor
2.12
Kelly Fraction
0.148
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
056.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.5¢2,000Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.3¢90,387.29Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.5¢56,694Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.7¢7,115.714Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.7¢14,232.857Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY4.3¢4,609.535Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY4.1¢4,878.049Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY3.5¢2,857.143Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY21.9¢503.39Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY34.6¢288.803Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSELL49.0¢590.62Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETBUY50.0¢600Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY1.0¢500Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY6.8¢369.499Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY13.8¢1,446.747Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY1.0¢500Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY20.3¢491.617Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSELL19.6¢232.63Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY43.0¢93.023Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY35.0¢142.857Feb 19

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%66%< 10%9%10–20%10%20–30%11%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active56.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.10
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.3%
Win Consistency74.7%
Profit Factor1.47
Drawdown Resilience1.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.90
Trading Activity1,000 trades · 14 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,8813d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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